By now, you will have seen Centrica's announcement on the sales of 50% interests in windfarms at Lynn, Inner Dowsing (offshore) and Glens of Foudland (onshore).
The key section is here: Centrica also announced that it has agreed the sale of a 50 per cent equity stake in its Lynn, Inner Dowsing and Glens of Foudland wind farms to the US-based investment management company TCW for a cash consideration of £84 million, and entered into agreements to raise approximately £340 million of non-recourse project finance facilities from a consortium of banks for these assets. The transactions value the wind farms at approximately £460 million in aggregate.
Using a 10% discount rate, and what we think are reasonable electricity and ROC prices (£60/MWh and £37/MWh respectively), we see the values (100%) as:
Glens of Foudland (26MW) - £35 million
Lynn (81 MW) - £134 million
Inner Dowsing (81 MW) - £134 million
Lynn (extension, 90 MW)- £181 million
Inner Dowsing (extension, 90 MW) - £181 million
So we get a total of £675 million for 100% of the windfarms - a considerably higher number. We have to drop the power price to less than £40/MWh or increase the discount rate to around 15% to get the value to line up with Centrica's valuation.
Also, Centrica announced that the 270 MW of Lincs would cost some £725 million - £2.69 million per MW installed. Not bad - less than the equivalent (announced) amount for Greater Gabbard. I wonder if this suggests turbine prices are weakening somewhat?
